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Economic Outlook

 
 

October 3, 2013

 

Century II Convention Hall

 

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2013 Agenda

 

  7:30  

Breakfast and Registration

 

  8:00

 

Welcome Video John Bardo
Opening Remarks: John Bardo, President
Wichita State University

 


 


 
   

Moderator: Tim Brown Tim Brown, Host/Producer
This Week in Kansas
KAKEland

 


 


 
  8:10  

Small Business Outlook William Dunkelberg
William "Dunk" C. Dunkelberg, Chief Economist
National Federation of Independent Business

 

 

 


 

  8:40  

Sponsor Video


 
  8:45  

Agriculture OutlookNathan Kauffman
Nathan S. Kauffman, Economist
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Omaha Branch

 

 


 

  9:15  

Break


 
  9:30  

Healthcare IndustryRobert St Peter
Robert F. St. Peter, President & CEO
Kansas Health Institute

 

 

 


 
 10:00  

Sponsor Video


 
 10:05  

Local ForecastHill
Jeremy Hill, Director, CEDBR
W. Frank Barton School of Business
Wichita State University

 

 


 
 10:35  

Break


 
 10:50  

Q & A and Discussion Panel


 
 11:25   Closing Remarks and AdjournmentCindy Claycomb
Cindy Claycomb, Interim Dean
W. Frank Barton School of Business
Wichita State University
 
       
 
 
 
   

 

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2013 Kansas Economic Outlook Conferences

Event Date Location Time
Wichita October 3 Century II Convention Hall 7:30-11:30
Salina October 18 Salina Country Club 11:30-2:00
Pittsburg October 22 Memorial Auditorium and Convention Center 8:00 -10:30
Dodge City October 24 Magouirk Conference Center 11:30-2:00
Hays October 25 Robbins Center 8:30-11:00
Emporia October 29 Memorial Union - Lecture Hall 2, Emporia State University 11:30-2:00

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Major Sponsors:
Martens

Relianz


Secondary Sponsors:
 

GLMV

Hotel Waterwalk

Hyatt

Kansas Gas

SMH
Workforce

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Download the Powerpoint using the link underneath each image.

Small Business Outlook
William Dunkelberg
Dunkelberg
Agriculture Outlook
Nathan Kauffman

Kauffman
Healthcare Industry
Robert St. Peter
St. Peter
Local Forecast
Jeremy Hill

Hill
Wichita Forecast Document

Wichita Outlook
The Martens Companies 2014 Forecast
Martens Forecast
2013 Panel Discussion
 
 
 

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The 34th Annual Wichita Area Economic Outlook Conference

October 03, 2013 ~ Century II Convention Hall

7:30 – 11:30 a.m.

Conference Speakers

William C. Dunkleberg, Chief Economist

National Federation of Independent Business 

William Dunkleberg

William C. Dunkleberg is currently professor emeritus of economics in the College of Liberal Arts, Temple University, where he served as dean of the School of Business and Management from 1987 through 1994 and as director of the Center for the Advancement and Study of Entrepreneurship.  He currently serves as chief economist for the National Federation of Independent Business and as economic strategist, Boenning & Scattergood.  His prior appointments were at the Krannert Graduate School of Management, Purdue University; the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University; and the Survey Research Center at the University of Michigan.  He has bachelor’s, master’s and doctoral degrees in economics from the University of Michigan.

 

Dunkelberg is a nationally known authority on small business, entrepreneurship, consumer credit and government policy.   He was reported by The New York Times to be one of four final candidates for vice chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in 1981, served as an advisor to the Secretary of Commerce, and was appointed to the Consumer Advisory Council of the Federal Reserve System in 1989 for a two-year term.  He is a past president and a Fellow of the National Association for Business Economics and was awarded the Abramson Award for the best paper in 2009.  He was appointed to the Census Advisory Committee representing the American Economic Association in 1992 and again in 1995 (serving as chair) and served on the board of The National Bureau of Economic Research from 1996 to 1999.  He is an elected member of the Conference of Business Economists (chairman in 2003) and the National Business Economic Issues Council, as well as the first recipient of the Small Business Administration’s Research Advocate of the Year award.  In 2008, the Haas School of Business, Center for Executive Education, at the University of California, Berkeley honored him with their Leading Through Innovation Executive Award.

Dunkelberg has presented expert testimony before the U.S. House and Senate on consumer credit, inflation, tax reform, the minimum wage, small business, electronic funds transfer systems, energy efficiency standards, health care and monetary and fiscal policy.  He has appeared on CNBC, Bloomberg, FOX, CNN, MSNBC, the ABC, CBS and NBC Evening News programs, Good Morning America, and numerous local news and business TV and radio shows.  He is frequently quoted in major news publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Bloomberg Businessweek, The New York Times, U.S. News and World Report, and USA Today.  He serves on the economic forecasting panels for USA Today and Bloomberg and as an economic advisor to ABC News.   He has authored and co-authored numerous books and articles and writes a monthly small business economic report for the National Federation of Independent Business.  He had his own radio show on WPHT 1210 AM Philadelphia every Sunday for two years, and his editorials were broadcast by KYW NEWSRADIO for more than 15 years, until 2007.

Dunkelberg has served on numerous boards and as a regional judge for the Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year program for 14 years, as well as a national judge in 2001 and 2003.   He served as a member of the Quality of Markets Committee for the Philadelphia Stock Exchange until its sale to NASDAQ in 2008.

Nathan Kauffman, Economist

Omaha Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 

Nathan Kauffman

Nathan Kauffman is an economist in the Regional Affairs Department at the Omaha Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. As part of the Tenth District’s expertise in agricultural research, Kauffman provides insights on agricultural and rural issues to bank officials, the community and media. He leads the publication of the Tenth District Survey of Agricultural Credit Conditions and the Federal Reserve System’s Agricultural Finance Databook. Kauffman also contributes to the Main Street Economist, a bimonthly publication covering economic issues affecting agriculture and rural areas, and the Nebraska Economist, a quarterly publication providing insights into the Nebraska economy.

 

Kauffman’s current research focuses primarily on commodity market analysis, agricultural policy, and rural finance. His additional research interests include international rural development and agricultural trade.

He joined the Federal Reserve in May 2012 after receiving his doctorate in economics from Iowa State University.

Robert F. St. Peter, President & CEO

Kansas Health Institute

Robert St. Peter

Dr. Robert F. St. Peter is the president and CEO of the Kansas Health Institute, an independent, nonpartisan health policy and research organization located across the street from the Statehouse in Topeka. The work of KHI is focused on developing and engaging evidence-informed health policy for decision making at the state and local levels, including serving as a national program office for a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation initiative on sharing public health services, funding by the Pew Memorial Trust’s Health Impact Project, running a Kansas Legislators’ Health Academy, monitoring the recent implementation of universal Medicaid managed care, fiscal policy analysis, and operating a statewide health policy news service at www.khi.org.

 

Previously, St. Peter served as senior medical researcher at Mathematica Policy Research and the Center for Studying Health System Change in Washington, D.C.   At MPR he participated in evaluations of various Medicaid managed care and quality improvement initiatives, and at the center he led the development and implementation of the physician component of the Community Tracking Study.   He also served as a health policy adviser on the U.S. Senate Labor Committee during consideration of comprehensive health care reform legislation in 1994-95, as the Luther L. Terry Senior Fellow in Preventive Medicine in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, and as an international health fellow in Nigeria.

After joining KHI, St. Peter was the principle investigator on a multi-year cooperative agreement awarded by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, known as the Children’s Health Insurance Research Initiative.  His research has been published in the Journal of the American Medical Association, the New England Journal of Medicine, Health Affairs, Pediatrics and other journals.

St. Peter currently serves as the treasurer of AcademyHealth, sits on the executive committee of the board and is chair-elect of the Committee on Advocacy and Public Policy. He is also a member of the National Advisory Committee of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Clinical Scholars program, served on the technical advisory committee to RWJF in establishing the Health and Society Scholars program, and is a board member and past chair of the National Network of Public Health Institutes.

He received an undergraduate degree in business from the University of Kansas, a medical degree from Duke University, completed pediatrics training at the University of Colorado, and was an RWJF Clinical Scholar at the University of California, San Francisco/Stanford University.  He is a research associate professor in the department of preventive medicine at the University of Kansas and previously held faculty appointments at the University of Colorado, UCSF and George Washington University in Washington, D.C.

Jeremy Hill, Director
Center for Economic Development and Business Research, W. Frank Barton School of Business, Wichita State University

hill

Jeremy Hill is the director of the Center for Economic Development and Business Research. He came to Wichita State University from Georgia Southern University, where he was the director of the Coastal Rivers Water Planning and Policy Center.

Hill leads the CEDBR in its mission to provide accurate, reliable information and analysis to inform decision making in the public and private sectors. The center provides market research, fiscal and impact analyses, and employment forecasts for the regional and state economies.

 

He has also contributed to innovative research, analysis and planning in collaborative ventures across Kansas. His research focus has been on business analysis and community development, as well as workforce, tourism and retirement dynamics. This variety of research has required economic impact modeling, cost-benefit analysis, forecasting, data analysis, and survey development and design.

Hill has been involved in a number of national and regional organizations, including the Association for University Business and Economic Research, the National Association for Business Economics, and the Kansas Economic Development Alliance.


Tim Brown, Host/Producer

This Week in Kansas

 

Tim Brown

Tim Brown has worked in television for the past 21 years.  During that time, he has won numerous awards for journalistic excellence. 

Brown started as an intern at Oklahoma City television station KOCO, where he helped break a story that received national attention, as well as recognition from Oklahoma Governor Henry Bellmon.  The story uncovered ties between the Church of Scientology and Narcanon, a drug treatment center opened on Indian land in Oklahoma.  State officials did not know of the link before granting permission for the treatment facility to open. 

From KOCO, Brown traveled to Lawton, Okla., to work as a reporter/anchor at KSWO.  After a brief stint at KSWO, he was hired at KWWL in Waterloo, Iowa, to be the bureau chief for KWWL in Cedar Rapids.

Brown was then hired in Wichita, first at KSNW and then KWCH, where he was nominated for multiple Emmys and received several awards for news coverage.

Brown left the commercial television business in 2000 to work in the nonprofit world.  In 2004, Tim helped produce, shoot, edit and co-host “Minding Your Own Business; the Kansas Entrepreneur.”  In 2006, he was asked to produce and host "Kansas Week" at KPTS.

Brown is proud to join the KAKEland team and host "This Week in Kansas."

John William Bardo, President
Wichita State University

John William Bardo

 John William Bardo was born in Cincinnati, Ohio, grew up in that area and graduated from Oak Hills High School. He received a bachelor's degree in economics and studied economics and social policy at the University of Southampton, England, during his junior year. He received his masters' degree in sociology from Ohio University in 1971 and his doctorate in sociology from Ohio State University in 1973. He also attended the Institute for Educational Management at Harvard in 1987.

 

Bardo's first academic appointment was at Wichita State University as an assistant professor of sociology. He also worked and taught in the Hugo Wall Center for Urban Studies. During his time at WSU he obtained a Fulbright to Australia, where he and his wife, Deborah, studied Americans as migrants; and he had a sabbatical appointment in social policy at the University of Wales in Swansea.

After leaving Wichita State, Bardo held appointments at Southwest Texas State University, the University of North Florida, Bridgewater State College, and Western Carolina University. At Western Carolina, he served as chancellor from 1995 to 2011, after which he rejoined the faculty.

Bardo's academic interests involve the relationships between higher education, the economy, and quality of life. He speaks regularly on issues associated with the New Economy and building competitiveness. When he is not working, Bardo enjoys international travel and working with stained glass.

He first met his wife, Deborah, in Neff Hall on the WSU campus, and they married in 1975. They have one son, Christopher, who is a student at North Carolina Central University studying biology and chemistry.

Cindy Claycomb, Interim Dean
W. Frank Barton School of Business, Wichita State University

Cindy Claycomb

Dr. Cindy Claycomb joined the Wichita State University faculty in 1994 as an assistant professor of marketing and entrepreneurship in the W. Frank Barton School of Business. She was promoted to associate professor in 2000 and to full professor in 2006. She was appointed Interim Dean, W. Frank Barton School of Business, effective June 2, 2013.

A native of Wichita, she received her bachelor of business administration and master of business administration degrees from Wichita State University in 1979 and 1991, respectively, and her doctorate from Oklahoma State University in 1995. Claycomb has 12 years of experience in industry. She held several management positions in her 10 years with Pizza Hut Inc. (a division of PepsiCo), including manager of the accounts payable department, manager of the corporate finance customer service center, and corporate budget manager. Before joining management at Pizza Hut, she also held analyst positions in distribution, information systems, and personnel.

Since coming to Wichita State, Claycomb has taught courses in services marketing, retail management, selling and sales force management, principles of online marketing, and marketing programs, as well as teaching in the executive and traditional MBA programs. In 2004, she was awarded a teaching fellowship and became the Neff Family Fellow in Business. She won the 2003 Wichita State University Board of Trustees’ Award for Leadership in the Advancement of Teaching.

Claycomb has several research interests that blend well with her teaching interests. Her research interests lie in the areas of marketing management, supply chain management, services marketing, sales, electronic commerce, relationship marketing, and public policy and marketing. She won the W. Frank Barton School of Business Researcher/Writer of the Year award in 2000 and 2004. She earned Barton Fellow awards in the W. Frank Barton School of Business for 2002 to 2003 and 2011 to 2013. These fellowships recognize quality research.

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